Showing posts with label Dayton. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dayton. Show all posts

Thursday, February 21, 2008

Game-Planning 13

Number One versus Number Two. Does any other game really compare this weekend? It could be considered the second biggest game of the year after the National Championship. Both teams hail from Tennessee. The Volunteers and the Tigers. Every other matchup this week pales in comparison.

Interestingly enough, this is the fifth time ever that the #1 and #2 teams in the AP poll met in the regular season. Even more, in the previous four times the #2 team is 0-4. #1 seems to dominate the series but, of course, for a team like Memphis, who plays in a "weak" conference, it is very possibly, even likely, for Tennessee to win.

I'd also like to mention the recent struggles of the Duke Blue Devils. They've lost their last two games to (no mistake) Wake Forest and Miami. They have been outscored by fourteen points in those two games and it's had me wondering if Duke even has enough to make it to the Elite Eight.


1st Quarter- #2 Tennessee at #1 Memphis

I've already explained what makes this matchup so huge. 1 vs. 2. There isn't anything bigger in sports than the top two teams squaring off. Memphis will be running the high-powered and newly-famous Dribble Drive Motion Offense. They are led by Chris Douglas-Roberts (18 pts, 5 reb, 2 ast), Derrick Rose (14 pts, 4 reb, 4 ast), and Joey Dorsey (7 pts, 11 reb, 1 ast).

Tennessee, on the other hand, will be pressing on defense and pushing the ball on offense just like the Tigers. Spectators should expect a high-scoring affair in this one. The Volunteers are led by Chris Lofton (15 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast), JaJuan Smith (14 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast), and Tyler Smith (13 pts, 7 reb, 4 ast). Lofton, after having a slow start to begin the season, is averaging 19 points in his last nine games and has reached the 20-point plateau in six of those games.

In my opinion, it will be interesting to see how each team guards the other's top scorer. For Memphis, they will attempting to shut down the senior sharpshooter, Lofton. For the Vols, they will have the job of stopping Douglas Roberts, or more popularly known as CDR. Douglas-Roberts is averaging an astounding 28 points in his last three games.

Neither of these teams really had a dominant big man to utilize on offense so look for both to rely heavily on their guards and the three-point shot. Memphis averages 8 three-pointers per game; Tennessee is somewhat better at the long ball as they make 9 threes per contest. Keys to the game will definitely be the three-pointer, pressure defense, and the scoring of CDR and Lofton.

I shall be picking Memphis to win this game. Calipari will be getting his 401st coaching victory and the #1 team will then be 5-0 agains the #2 team all time. This game can be viewed Saturday, February 23rd at 9pm eastern time on ESPN. Simply put, you cannot, under any circumstances, miss this game.


Author's Note: I now understand that the rest of this blog may be a let-down due to the awesomeness of the 1st Quarter game.


2nd Quarter- Arizona at #17 Washington State

I suggest that after you finish up watching the Memphis-Tennessee game that you flip over to FSN to catch the second half of this game. It probably will, however, take some getting used to as these teams don't get out and run nearly as much as the top two teams in the country do.

Last time these two teams met, Arizona left with a 76-64 victory over Wazzou. In that game, Chase Budinger and Jerryd Bayless combined for 45 points. The Wildcats are led by Bayless (21 pts, 3 reb, 4 ast), Budinger (17 pts, 5 reb, 3 ast), and Jordan Hill (13 pts, 8 reb, 1 ast). The Cougars, however, are led by Derrick Low (14 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast), Kyle Weaver (11 pts, 5 reb, 4 ast), and Taylor Rochestie (10 pts, 3 reb, 5 ast) in the backcourt. Down low, Aron Baynes (11 pts, 6 reb, 0 ast) is the key man for Washington State.

Both teams have decent big guys, but neither has a dominant one. Currently, Arizona is on a two-game losing streak and WSU has a four-game winning streak. The Cougars need to win this game if they'd like to contend with Stanford and UCLA for the Pac-10 crown and the number one seed going into the conference tournament. I am picking Washington State to win this game. They are at home and Arizona hasn't been playing very well as of late. Tune in to watch this game Saturday, February 23rd at 10pm eastern time on FSN.


The Halftime Show

So there I sat, wondering what the hell I'm going to write about for three paragraphs for the Halftime Show. All of a sudden, it came to me. I'll be talking about the best unranked teams in college basketball. The first team that is definitely worth mentioning is Arizona. They play in one of the toughest conferences in the nation and have a respectable record of 16-10. The Wildcats have knocked off formidable opponents such as USC, Washington State, and Texas A&M. Arizona also has two possible All-Americans on their team.

The second team that I will talk about is Clemson. Their record is 19-7 and have five players averaging in double figures for points (leading scorer: K.C. Rivers- 15 ppg). The Tigers have played North Carolina very tough two times in a row and have knocked off Virginia, Purdue, and Mississippi State to name a few. This is my dark horse pick come tournament time. They have the talent to make it to the Elite Eight.

The final team I will mention is Baylor. They have a record of 17-8 in the tough Big 12 conference. Yes, the Bears have lost their last four games and six of their last seven but if they pull it together for March they can definitely be dancing for awhile. They lead a balanced attack and, like Clemson, have five players averaging in double figures for points (leading scorer: Curtis Jerrells- 15 ppg). However, if they don't shape up, they won't even make the tournament.


3rd Quarter- #10 Xavier at Dayton

After starting 14-1, Dayton has lost seven of their last ten games and appear to be giving the Selections Committee an easier job come March. However, this time they will have the home crowd behind them and will want revenge for the embarassing 69-43 loss suffered to Xavier in their first meeting this season. In that game, the Flyers shot an abysmal 30% from the field and were outrebounded 38-22. This time Dayton will need to turn it around.

The Flyers are led by Brian Roberts (19 pts, 3 reb, 4 ast). Pulling down the rebounds and helping out with the scoring load will be Chris Wright (10 pts, 6 reb), Marcus Johnson (9 pts, 5 reb), and Charles Little (8 pts, 5 reb). The Musketeers, on the other hand, are led by playmaking point guard Drew Lavender (11 pts, 3 reb, 5 ast) and senior swingman Josh Duncan (12 pts, 5 reb, 1 ast). Xavier's squad features four MORE players that average in double figures for points (Raymond, Brown, Anderson, Burrell) and two that average 6+ rebounds (Brown, Anderson).

Alas, the home court advantage and vengeance will not be enough for the stumbling Dayton Flyers. I am picking Xavier to win this game. Be sure to tune in and watch Sunday, February 24th at 2pm eastern time on CSTV.


4th Quarter- #2 Tennessee at #16 Vanderbilt

Coming off the big game at Memphis, Tennessee has to travel to Vandy. In my opinion, Vanderbilt's home arena is one of the toughest to play at in college basketball because it's different. The shot clocks aren't in the same place, the benches are down by the baselines, and the court is just more open as the fans sit back farther from the action than normal. All of this is playing against the Vols chances. Oh, wait, did I mention that the Commodores are 16-0 at home this season?

Tennessee is led by, as I mentioned earlier, Lofton, JaJuan Smith, and Tyler Smith. They have NINE players averaging at least five points per game. Vanderbilt, however, is led by Shan Foster (19 pts, 5 reb, 2 ast) and Andrew Ogilvy (17 pts, 7 reb, 1 ast). Recently, they have defeated Kentucky...by 41 points! In that game, Ogilvy was a complete force as he finished with 19 points and 12 rebounds in only 24 minutes of playing time.

Vanderbilt is 16-0 at home. Tennessee is 9-1 on the road. Both average over eighty points per game on offense. Vanderbilt will win. The game will be aired Tuesday, February 26th on ESPN at 9pm eastern time. This is a must-see game as it is vital to the SEC standings. If Vandy can pull off the upset, then it will give teams like Mississippi State and Kentucky a chance to knock the Vols down and out of first place.


The Postgame Video Vault





I couldn't resist with that last video. haha

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Thursday, January 17, 2008

Game-Planning 9

As many of you already know, basketball is the basis of my life. Everything I do and think about revolves around the sport that Dr. James Naismith invented over a century ago. So believe me when I say that I was quite upset in missing BOTH the North Carolina/Georgia Tech and Duke/Florida State games the other night. Nonetheless, I try to be optimistic in my life so I decided to get a head start on the upcoming marquee matchups by breaking them down for your enjoyment.

Author's Note: Every time you see a link to the phrase "per game", you should click on it. It will take you to a blog that I've read on FanNation.com recently that held was very good in my opinion.


1st Quarter- Villanova at Syracuse

Winner: Villanova

Why They'll Win: The Wildcats of Villanova are ranked 25th in the most recent AP poll and are led by Scottie Reynolds, who averages 17 points, 3 rebounds, and 4 assists per game. This team doesn't really have a true center to rely on. However, Syracuse doesn't have a dominant big man either. This game will be a matchup of very good backcourts. I'm still contemplating as to whether Eric Devendorf's absence will hurt or help the Orange. The majority of people would say hurt because of his experience and scoring (17 per game), but you can't forget that at times he would hog the ball out on the court. I always looked at him as a negative influence on the team (I'm sure many would disagree with that assumption). Regarding Syracuse, they're led by the fantastic freshmen duo of Donte Green (19 pts, 8 reb, 2 ast) and Jonny Flynn (15 pts, 2 reb, 5 ast) who, by the way, recovered nicely from his weak performance in the NIT game I attended and saw him play in. Notwithstanding, I still think 'Nova takes the win in this one. Syracuse has unimpressed me with their play against so many mediocre teams such as West Virginia, Cincinnati, and Massachusetts.

When To Watch: Saturday, January 19th on ESPN at noon eastern time.


2nd Quarter- Ohio State at Tennessee

Winner: Tennessee

Why They'll Win: You probably know that I've picked against the Volunteers quite a bit in my previous eight editions of this blog but I'm threw with all of that. This team is very good even if Chris Lofton isn't having the season everyone was expecting him to have. They're led by JaJuan Smith (15 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast), Lofton (14 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast), and Tyler Smith (13 pts, 6 reb, 4 ast). They've posted nice wins over Xavier and Gonzaga. As a team, Tennessee shoots 35% from deep and 47% from the field. Their Achilles' heel would definitely have to be their shooting 67% from the line. Worth mentioning are the six players scoring at least nine points per game. The Buckeyes, meanwhile, are coming off a 6-point loss to the highly-ranked Spartans of Michigan State. They're led by Jamar Butler (15 pts, 4 reb, 6 ast) and Kosta Koufos (14 pts, 7 reb). Ohio State has defeated Syracuse by fourteen and Florida by thirteen.

When To Watch: Saturday, January 19th at 3:30pm eastern time on CBS.


Halftime Thoughts-

A must-read for college hoops' fans is Grant Wahl's annual "Magic Eight". In it, he says why the Tar Heels will NOT be cutting down the nets this year. He also tells how one of the eight teams in the article WILL be winning it all. Of those are Kansas, Memphis, and Xavier to name a few.

CollegeHoops.Net's Hot Topic: This was an interesting choice this week. It's called Sleeper of the Century and it tells, using advanced statistics, who some of the best freshmen in the country are. You'll be surprised who's #2...

I'm pretty sure I called it. Washington State doesn't have nearly as good a team as UCLA. They were not as good as many had presumed. Their defensive stats were nothing but overrated due to their weak schedule. This team will be lucky if they make it to the Sweet Sixteen.


3rd Quarter- Texas A&M at Kansas State

Winner: Texas A&M

Why They'll Win: The Aggies are currently ranked tenth in the AP poll and are led by Josh Carter (13 pts, 4 reb, 2 ast), Joseph Jones (11 pts, 5 reb, 2 ast), and DeAndre Jordan (10 pts, 7 reb). They're coming off a loss to Texas Tech and that will be all the more reason to pick against Kansas State on Saturday. That was only their second loss of the season--the first one coming to Arizona. They have seven players averaging seven points per game, each one having no more than 13. A&M shoots 39% from long-range and 51% from the field. However, they shoot a paltry 61% from the free throw line, but Kansas State isn't much better at 68%. They also shoot considerably worse from deep at 31%. The Wildcats are led by Michael Beasley (25 pts, 13 reb) and Bill Walker (16 pts, 7 reb, 2 ast). They've gotten nice wins over Cal and Oklahoma yet have losses to teams such as George Mason and Notre Dame (no offense, IrishR#1).

When To Watch: Saturday, January 19th at 4pm eastern time on ESPN.


4th Quarter- Clemson at Duke

Winner: Clemson

Why They'll Win: It pains me to think that Duke isn't going to win this game. I'll root for them, but their lack of a great post player will definitely hurt them in this game. That's my main reason for choosing Clemson. It will be close with no team going ahead by more than six or eight points. Clemson is currently ranked 24th in the AP poll and are coming off a 16-point victory over NC State. Their only loss this season has been to #1 North Carolina by only two points. They're led by K.C. Rivers (15 pts, 7 reb, 2 ast) and Trevor Booker (13 pts, 9 reb, 2 ast); all of the Tigers' starters average AT LEAST eleven points per game. The Blue Devils, on the other hand, don't feature a solid post presence and are led by DeMarcus Nelson (14 pts, 6 reb, 3 ast), Gerald Henderson (13 pts, 5 reb, 2 ast), and Kyle Singler (13 pts, 6 reb, 2 ast). Duke will most likely play stifling man-to-man defense the entire game but when Clemson starts pounding the ball inside, it will be very difficult for the Dukies to pull ahead even on their home court. Duke shoots 39% from three-point range, 69% from the stripe, and 48% from the field.

When To Watch: Saturday, January 19th at 6pm eastern time on ESPN.


Overtime- Dayton at Xavier

Winner: Xavier

Why They'll Win: I knew I had to break down a Xavier game soon or else Tracy would send a search party out to come and kill me so here it is. The Flyers, who are ranked 14th, are led by Brian Roberts (20 pts, 3 reb, 5 ast) and Chris Wright (10 pts, 6 reb); they've defeated ranked teams such as Louisville, Pittsburgh, and Rhode Island. Their only has been to George Mason by nine points early on in the season. The downside is that Dayton has a NEGATIVE assist-to-turnover ratio. The Musketeers have a decent 1.3/1 assist-to-turnover ratio and are led by Drew Lavender (12 pts, 2 reb, 5 ast) and B.J. Raymond (12 pts, 4 reb). They are ranked 20th in both polls and have four losses to Miami of Ohio by two, Arizona State by twenty-two, Tennessee by seven, and Temple by nineteen. In my opinion, Dayton is a little overrated and I'm going with the upset pick in this one. Drew Lavender will literally pick their defense apart. Xavier averages nearly 80 points per game.

When To Watch: Thursday, January 24th at 8pm eastern time on CSTV.


And that will do it for this week's edition of Game-Planning. If you didn't notice, there are four great games on Saturday that you won't want to miss. Besides, you need something to relieve the stress of midterm examinations. Have a great weekend!

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